by Vortex » Thu Jun 26, 2008 1:11 pm
Hi all,
I'm glad that my suggestion of exploring the psychology of 'cover-ups' has sparked some interest on the forum. With this in mind, I'm going to put forward some of my observations of the common themes that seem to run through these cover-ups and significantly, how these could relate to the RFI. Please note that at this stage this is a general overview and I'm not going to back up claims with specific references, however I will endeavour to do this is at a later stage!
Ok, first things first: humans don't like ambiguity. There's a common approach to human psychology that characterises individuals as 'naive scientists', constantly trying to make sense of the world around them, proposing/testing hypotheses, making predictions, evaluating evidence etc., and all this with the ultimate goal of being able to assert control over our lives and basically, SURVIVE. Therefore, anything ambiguous and uncertain frustrates us. Indeed, it could be said that the very reason we are ALL talking in this forum right now is because of this underlying sense of frustration, i.e. we want to find out the 'truth' relating to the RFI because it's a highly ambiguous situation (or perhaps not, as I will discuss later!) and its reality could (or could not!) have implications for our perception of the world around us. As you can imagine, such powerful human psychology can be manipulated (for a variety of purposes) by those in authority and I believe that this relates significantly to the psychology of cover-ups...
From what I've discovered in my research (I will try and post some examples at a later date), cover-ups (particularly those implemented by military/government agencies) tend to attempt to achieve one of the following two goals:
1. To make a very straight-forward case appear extremely complex.
2. To make an extremely complex case appear very straight-forward and mundane.
As you can see, both of these approaches attempt to exploit human beings' dislike of ambiguity; approach 1 INCREASES frustration, causing us to explore multiple alternative theories/hypotheses in an attempt to find an answer, perhaps disregarding the 'truth' in the process (i.e. throwing out the baby with the bath-water); conversely, approach 2 REMOVES frustration by providing us with a 'quick-fix' answer to the ambiguity, thus removing our need to theorise/hypothesise further and in the process, stop us discovering the genuine 'truth'. I hate to use this as an example, but it could be suggested that the world-famous 'Roswell Incident' fits into a type 1 cover-up. Not speculating about the nature of what crashed at Roswell, but this cover-up has now provided us with at least four 'official' explanations (i.e. a flying disk, a weather balloon, a project Mogul balloon/radar, dummies involved in high-altitude jump tests) and thus a potentially straight-forward incident has now become very complex. What was it that crashed? A disk? A balloon? A radar? Or something else? Who knows???? Add to this the multiple theories from researchers etc. and the water becomes even muddier - Bingo! The cover-up has worked! The question is, where does the RFI fit into this equation? Are we looking at a type 1 or a type 2 cover-up? OR, has a type 3 cover-up approach been employed that attempts to further confuse matters by combining elements of the type 1 AND type 2 approaches?! I digress. I think we need to examine the RFI as an individual case to attempt to answer this question...
What's fascinating about the RFI is that the manner in which it became known to the public was fairly unique and the case doesn't fit into the usual 'incident > media sensation > cover-up' scenario. If the RFI had been on the front pages of the tabloids from day one (i.e. in December 1980), THEN it would have fitted into this scenario, but it wasn't? What seems unique about this case, is that as far as the general public and the media were concerned, prior to the initial News Of The World article, there was no incident!? And if there was no incident, why would you need a cover-up? Now, obviously, we have since learnt that there were civilian eye-witnesses to 'strange lights' etc. at the time of the incident, but there was no incident of such significance that it had impacted on the national or international media. Therefore, it would appear that whatever had taken place (whether it be a UFO incident, prison-break, weapons malfunction or lunar module prank) had been successfully contained. However, military eye-witnesses from the twin bases (Larry Warren obviously being the most prominent) gradually began to talk about a UFO incident and the case began to build up momentum - the climax being the retrieval of Halt's memo and the publishing of the News Of The World article. What's interesting to me here, is that following this chain of events backwards, if the military witnesses hadn't begun to speak up about their experiences in the first place, UFO researchers would not have got on the case, Halt's memo might not have ever been released and therefore, the RFI could have remained undetected and no need for a cover-up ever required! This has led me to a conclusion that I know is going to get me shot down in flames, but here goes...
I theorise that an ad-hoc (in response to the release of the Halt memo/publishing of the News Of The World article) type 2 cover-up of the RFI has been implemented. I propose that Larry Warren and the other military eyewitnesses DID have a close encounter with crafts (and perhaps occupant entities) of unknown origin. The authorities were quick to implement the requirements for a type 2 cover-up approach amongst the witnesses (i.e. 'if anybody asks you, all that you saw was the lighthouse beacon'), in the off-chance that other military personnel, civilians, journalists etc. questioned them in the future. The situation appeared to be contained and a type 2 cover-up within the twin bases successfully applied (i.e. a complex chain of events - multiple UFO sightings/encounters - reduced to a straight-forward explanation - lighthouse beacon/lights in the tress; therefore, ambiguity removed and no further theorising required). However, with the release of Halt's memo and the subsequent publishing of the News Of The World article, a cover-story for the public was also required. In this instance, some reverse psychology was applied - the cover story for the UFO incident was this: a UFO incident! However, not the real UFO incident, just enough of the UFO incident to retain some ambiguity!! An official memo detailing marks on the ground, lights in the sky and even metallic triangular objects, although incredible in itself, is not conclusive proof of UFO activity. Indeed, although embarrassing to the USAF, Halt's memo (which he himself suggests is a 'watered-down’ version of the true facts), contained enough ambiguity to be a useful tool in the cover-up of the true events. By not officially offering an alternative explanation, we have had to explore alternative theories based on Halt's memo (was the triangular object a lunar module? were the indentations rabbit scratchings? did Halt and his party chase the lighthouse beacon?), perhaps disregarding the 'truth' (i.e. a UFO encounter) in the process. Furthermore, the popular 'lighthouse theory' which has been adopted by many sceptics and the mainstream media (indeed, even if my theory is correct, it's still possible that the lighthouse beacon WAS mistaken for a UFO on occasions, I have no problems with this being a possibility), the complex events that could have occurred in the RFI have been successfully reduced to a case of misidentification (further reinforced by the release of the - I believe edited - Halt audio tape, which adds additional ambiguity to the situation!). In addition, as we all know, the last thing you want to use as a cover story for an incident that you wish to remain secret is a UFO encounter as this will stimulate people's interest and provoke further research; however, for the reasons that I've mentioned above, this is the genius of the use of ambiguity and reverse psychology! Finally, the last part of the equation to support this theory is the multiple testimonies of the highly-trained, military eye-witnesses. Although there have been some discrepancies regarding what they claim to have encountered (there are ALWAYS problems with the accuracy of eye-witness testimonies, whether related to UFO sightings or basic memory tests!), there is surely enough common ground to suggest that they encountered crafts of unknown origin and potentially, there occupants? I can't think of any reason why somebody like Jim Penniston for example, would describe what he encountered unless it was what he genuinely saw? Indeed, I think arguments of misidentification of the object in Jim Penniston's encounter hold very little water and in the context of the theory that I've proposed, lend further support to the idea that the RFI did indeed involve an encounter with the highly-advanced and the unknown...
May the debate begin!
Vortex