Just a quick recap on the measurements: There is a series of videos on You Tube about the Rendlesham incident and in one (source:
http://youtube.com/watch?v=FX7YNYSNnxQ&feature=related) the dimensions between the depressions are given as 3.4m, which is approx 11ft. Another source on here suggests only 9ft. My calculations were based on a triangle with sides of 11ft. However, things move and we now have new contributors who were there. I was not there so my theories are invalid as they as based solely on witness statements and the few incidents that are known to have happened.
However, just a couple of comments. Something did hit the landing lights. That is known. The arrangement of the lights is such that if struck, the upper poles holding the lights would swivel - but a whole row had to be replaced. This suggests there could have been damage to whatever it was that hit them. It also suggests a fixed wing rather than rotary wing aircraft. I'd guess that the average aircraft from Woodbridge would be an A-10 - not sure of take off speed but probably somewhere around 120kts (about 150mph) - perhaps slower. The 81st Fighter Wing website at
http://twinbases.org.uk/history/history81st.htm: states that the 81st
"...Began conversion to A-10s in late 1978, and the mission changed to provide close air support and battlefield air interdiction in support of NATO ground forces.
Conducted joint operations with US and British ground forces training for close air support." So it was most likely an A10 that hit the lights . The role of the 81st seems to lead back to the situation prevailing along the Polish / Russian border at that time.
Larry Warren states in 'Left at East Gate' (Pages 40 - 41) that ...."NATO forces were ready to respond if the Red Army crossed the line. Most of our A-10 tank busters had already left for forward operating locations in West Germany" He goes on to state that "I was assigned to Bentwaters Perimeter Post 18. It was not a very important position in comparison to active aircraft areas or the weapons storage area. I checked out my M16 rifle from the armory at 11:15 and was dropped off at my post. Manned only during alerts, it was at the end of the Bentwaters flight line at the very end of the runway." If true, this confirms Warren was at Bentwaters and that there was an alert.
Now, why lie about that? I just don't see it.
So we know the lights were damaged, we know MOST A-10's had left for Germany and we know there was an alert.
Also, I know from a good friend whose husband worked for Rediffusion and who visited Bentwaters frequently at that time (to repair TV sets) that only one person was actually at the gate. This person would check names against a list of expected persons and phone ahead to wherever the problem was. Only the engineer was allowed out of the van, anyone with him had to remain in the van. After passing through the gate, the engineer reported to a reception and was then escorted to wherever the faulty kit was. However, from my own experience at AFSOUTH and the NSA at Angano, Italy (anyone remember the Tennis Hotel?), although there might be only one guy actually on the gate he has back-up nearby.
We also know that the deputy base commander and at least one other officer and several NCO's entered the forest. We know the deputy base commander Lt Col (later Col) Halt submitted a memo to MoD.
Therefore, I doubt this could have been a hoax. Airmen mucking around on base is one thing. Lt Cols, NCO's and the rest charging around a forest in the middle of the night and a deputy base commander sending a memo to MoD is something else entirely.
Hoax? No.
Something falling off an aircraft after hitting the lights, en route to a forward base in Germany or even an aircraft coming down shortly after take-off (as per the incident at Heathrow some years back where there was surprisingly little damage to the aircraft but the passenges were dead in their seats and there was no fire), with the pilot ejecting but coming down in the forest only to suffer injury as he falls through the trees. Possible
Stealing a nuclear weapon? Certainly not.
Alien craft - difficult. The Belgians chased one. Several reports of such craft.
Way too much confusion here. Personally I favour something highly classified falling off or an aircraft coming down, with either event followed by a covert recovery that employed diversionay tactics in an attempt to keep people away from whatever it was.
You can fool all of the people some of the time and some of the people all of the time but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time (Winston Churchill)...causa latet, vis est notissima